Showing posts with label weather (whining about). Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather (whining about). Show all posts

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

sKILLy xplains da wishy washiness

Dear Tom,
What does a 30 percent chance of rain mean?
-Magee Amethyst

Dear Magee,

The percent chance (or probability) of rain is the forecaster's way of expressing how certain he is that it will rain. Ideally, a forecaster wouldprefer to issue a zero-percent forecast (it absolutely will not rain) or a 100-percent forecast (it absolutely will rain), but the present "state of the art" does not give forecasters that ability.

The proper interpretation of a 30 percent chance of rain (assuming the forecasts verify perfectly) is that you will have rain on your head three out of ten times that you hear such a forecast.

Please note that the percent chance of rain does not address the duration of rainfall (it might rain all day or only a few minutes) or the amount of rainthat comes down (unless the forecaster uses a qualifying term such as"heavy" or "light").

Anyone keeping a running count of how often they're right or wrong and how it compares to dem percentages dey use? Smiff?

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Spring? MF@.

Current conditions:
Temperature: 46
Wind: NNE 21 mph, gusting to 125 mph
Wind chill: -8

Thursday, May 22, 2008

more End Times on the way?

Forecast for San Diego, California:
126 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2008
7 Day View
REST
OF
THIS
AFTERNOON
FRIDAYFRIDAY
NIGHT
SATURDAYSATURDAY
NIGHT
SUNDAY
Chance
Of
T-Storm
Chance
Of
T-Storm
Chance
Of
T-Storm
Chance
Of
T-Storm
Chance
Of
T-Storm
Chance
Of
Showers
Lo: 56°F Hi: 62°F
Lo: 57°F Hi: 65°F
Lo: 55°F Hi: 68°F
Pop: 40% Pop: 50% Pop: 50% Pop: 50% Pop: 40%


This after a ferocious winter...

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Hell On Earth? (non-Iraq, or any other places where George W. Bush hasn't made some AWFUL, IDIOTIC, CRIMINAL decisions, or Africa, Division)

Ok, pretty much anywhere but here and Canada...still, the sun was out for like an hour today and it was, well, brisk!

ZoneCast*:
430 PM PDT TUE APR 08 2008
Includes San Diego County Coastal Areas

Rest Of Tonight...Partly cloudy in the evening...Then cloudy with a slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows 51 to 56. Winds southwest 15 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.

Wednesday...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the morning...Then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs 59 to 64. Winds west 15 mph in the morning becoming light. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.

Wednesday Night...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows 49 to 55. Light winds.

*aka BullshitCast

Monday, March 31, 2008

Shoulda played the game in San Diego or somewheres wif a dome, like, say Milwaukee...

Here we go again

Live play-by-play of the Chicago Cubs' home opener against Milwaukee. A second rain delay has halted play in the bottom of the third inning.

Thursday, March 20, 2008

Saturday, February 23, 2008

I can't win for losing.

Winter: will it ever end?

Another storm targets county
Get ready for a rerun of Friday's wet, blustery conditions. Forecasters say a half inch to an inch of rain could fall at the coast and inland valleys Sunday. And powerful winds should rake the mountains while hyoooge waves pound the beaches.

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

anudder crappy week ahead...

Forecast for San Diego, California:
139 PM PST MON FEB 18 2008
TUESDAYWEDNESDAYTHURSDAYFRIDAYSATURDAYSUNDAY
Chance
Of
Rain
Chance
Of
Frogs
Chance
Of
Locusts
Chance
Of
Flying
Monkeys
Chance
Of
Rapture
Chance
Of
Chance


Hi: 59°F
Lo: 46°F
Hi: 59°F
Lo: 46°F
Hi: 60°F
Lo: 46°F
Hi: 60°F
Lo: 46°F
Hi: 61°F
Lo: 47°F
Hi: 61°F
Lo: 46°F

Pop: 20% Pop: 40%

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

sKILLy's forecast

So sKILLy's going thru the forecast for this weekend, and apparently things are not very certain (duh). We're supposed to get really cold weather Sunday, but the question is whether we'll get more snow. sKILLy says the European, Canadian and Japanese computer models have us buried in snow, while the WGN and the Navy models have the snow staying south of the Chicagoland area. So, let's watch this weekend and see who's right, the forners or the good ol' USA.

As if things weren't bad enough already...


And, there is a blog for everything.

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Tuesday, February 5, 2008

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Expect "World is coming to an end" sized delays

LSD has SUUUCKED this whole month, and now this...

The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning for the Chicago area starting at 6 p.m., predicting that up to 7 inches of snow could fall by Friday morning.

A storm from the Southern Plains will begin moving into the Chicago area Thursday afternoon with snow flurries that are expected to intensify in the evening and overnight, meteorologist Stephen Rodriguez said.

The storm warming is in effect until 6 p.m. Friday for Cook, DuPage and Will Counties and other counties to the south. A snow advisory is in effect for northern counties, including McHenry, Lake and Kane.

Temperatures will remain in the upper 20s throughout the Thursday and drop into the lower 20s Thursday evening. Windchill factors and high winds will not be a concern, Rodriguez said.

Farther south, near Morris and Pontiac, up to a foot of snow is expected.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

A REAL weather story

Not like that crap Smiffy posts about in Southern Kaliforniya. Going from 50 degrees to 0. Now THAT's weather...

Winter storm on its way
By Tina Shah Tribune reporter
11:08 AM CST, January 29, 2008

What felt like a damp, spring day in the Chicago area Tuesday morning will rapidly turn into a windy, bitterly cold winter storm later in the day.

The area is expected to experience sub-zero temperatures accompanied by gusty winds reaching 50 m.p.h. by tonight, said Edward Fenelon, meteorologist for the National Weather Service. The temperature Tuesday morning was 46 degrees.

A cold front coming from central Missouri will move east and hit Chicago about 3 p.m. Rapidly increasing winds, single-digit temperatures and 1 to 3 inches of snow will follow. High winds will blow snow around, reducing road visibility to a quarter-mile to a half-mile, Fenelon said.

"Hopefully folks who went to work this morning brought a jacket," he said.

The weather service has issued a winter storm warning, which means such weather conditions are expected to take shape, from noon Tuesday until noon Wednesday. The wind chill is expected to reach minus 20 degrees by Wednesday morning.

Flights at O'Hare International Airport were experiencing delays averaging 30 minutes Tuesday morning, said Karen Pride, a spokeswoman for the Chicago Department of Aviation. The airport was also reporting about 150 cancellations, Pride said.

Midway Airport was not reporting any delays or cancellations.

Tribune reporter Jeremy Gorner contributed to this report.