Lawyers quit impeachment case, call it a 'lynching'
You can't call it a lynching. How the heck would you know what a, oh, wait, that's right, you used to dish 'em out so you are intimately familiar with the process. Never mind...
Showing posts with label CYA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CYA. Show all posts
Friday, January 16, 2009
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
sKILLy xplains da wishy washiness
Dear Tom,
What does a 30 percent chance of rain mean?
-Magee Amethyst
Dear Magee,
The percent chance (or probability) of rain is the forecaster's way of expressing how certain he is that it will rain. Ideally, a forecaster wouldprefer to issue a zero-percent forecast (it absolutely will not rain) or a 100-percent forecast (it absolutely will rain), but the present "state of the art" does not give forecasters that ability.
The proper interpretation of a 30 percent chance of rain (assuming the forecasts verify perfectly) is that you will have rain on your head three out of ten times that you hear such a forecast.
Please note that the percent chance of rain does not address the duration of rainfall (it might rain all day or only a few minutes) or the amount of rainthat comes down (unless the forecaster uses a qualifying term such as"heavy" or "light").
Anyone keeping a running count of how often they're right or wrong and how it compares to dem percentages dey use? Smiff?
What does a 30 percent chance of rain mean?
-Magee Amethyst
Dear Magee,
The percent chance (or probability) of rain is the forecaster's way of expressing how certain he is that it will rain. Ideally, a forecaster wouldprefer to issue a zero-percent forecast (it absolutely will not rain) or a 100-percent forecast (it absolutely will rain), but the present "state of the art" does not give forecasters that ability.
The proper interpretation of a 30 percent chance of rain (assuming the forecasts verify perfectly) is that you will have rain on your head three out of ten times that you hear such a forecast.
Please note that the percent chance of rain does not address the duration of rainfall (it might rain all day or only a few minutes) or the amount of rainthat comes down (unless the forecaster uses a qualifying term such as"heavy" or "light").
Anyone keeping a running count of how often they're right or wrong and how it compares to dem percentages dey use? Smiff?
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